India's Energy Transition: Stranded coal power assets, workers, and energy subsidies

The India Energy Transition 2018 update published updated estimates of the scale of energy subsidies in India for FY 2017, including partial data on the scale of subsidies for FY 2018. One of the review's striking findings was government support measures for coal have remained largely unchanged since 2014, despite an ongoing crisis in the coal sector, where around 18 percent of installed capacity is "stressed" and at risk of entering bankruptcy proceedings.

This report takes a detailed look at why such a large share of coal power is struggling today and the drivers—including subsidies—that may cause similar crises in the future. In light of this, it sets out some broad proposals on the topic of “just transition,” which encourages governments to recognize stranded workers and communities as much as stranded private or public assets. It builds on an analysis of the relationship between subsidies and coal power assets published in 2018, India’s Stranded Assets: How Government Interventions Are Propping Up Coal Power.

The key findings of this report are: 

• India's 2018 crisis of stressed coal power assets may return in future years as various drivers suggest increased coal power costs. Therefore, government interventions should not only focus on the short term, but also support a managed transition that is fair for all involved, including workers.
• Current drivers of stressed assets include coal shortages and the financial distress of energy distribution companies, while future drivers are likely to include water scarcity, air pollution regulations, and cost-competitiveness of renewables.
• Policy support mechanisms for coal artificially dampen market signals that affect coal power costs. These take the form of subsidies, public finance through loan preferential rates, or the delay or lack of enforcement of policies (such as air pollution regulations) that would otherwise increase costs to producers.
• As part of an ongoing dialogue about labour in the coal sector, policymakers should consider the complementary policies that can ensure that the burden of asset stranding does not fall on workers and communities. This might include general employment schemes, targeted social protection measures, and financing mechanisms.